Online Sports Betting Secrets: Figuring out When NOT To Bet


Sports playing can be very profitable if an individual know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent illustration. We analyzed often the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the game. Yet , I also recognized that there are a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not guess on this particular game. Here is released ahead of the game:

West California or Louisville

This game offers all the indications of being one regarding the greatest games of the year, having both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming backside from becoming down big in the final fraction to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In the event this match were appearing played on the basic field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like substantially, but in a near match-up such as this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since December 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points per game with home. In case a person did not do the mathmatical, that means given that their particular last home reduction they have already averaged beating their adversaries by about 34 points per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by means of 13 details per activity at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats were accumulated during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve had recent games through which they have already only scored 28, 23, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically that this is still some sort of close video game to phone. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off that game and not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border had not been so big that they can may possibly still win right after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular activity, people significant regarding gambling saved money these people can put to better work with on upcoming games.


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